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Weekly Economic Perspectives

Black Sheep of US Macro Proves Economy Slowing

Small business sentiment, measured by NFIB (National Federation of Independent Business) Index – long been characterized as the “black sheep” among US macro indicators – fared worse than anticipated in August, more than retracing its July improvement.

5 min read
Chief Economist
Investment Strategist

NFIB Survey: Bad Combo of Uncertainty and Lower Profits

Spotlight on Next Week

  • We still favor 25 bp as Fed’s opening rate cut, but odds are very close. 
  • BoE to remain on hold. 
  • BoJ to maintain policy and guide hawkish. 
  • Aussie employment growth to have eased.

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